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poll, president obama leads romney by five points among likely voters nationwide. 48% to 43%. catch that, the fox poll. highly significant there. let's go right now to howard on this question. it looks to me like this divorce papers are pretty much out there right now. all that you hear now is romney doesn't really want to be stuck in that little basement where they cut medicare. >> well, mitt romney was on the campaign trail today saying, i have a little secret, i'm going to win pennsylvania. okay. he's not going to win pennsylvania. >> it's the oldest state in the union. >> he's not going to win pennsylvania with paul ryan's profile on medicare or budget cutting or anything else. so if mitt romney is serious about making a play in pennsylvania, that just underscores how inconvenient paul ryan has become. look, mitt romney did not pick paul ryan because of paul ryan's medicare or budget programs. he picked paul ryan because of his youthfulness, because of the cultural appeal, because of what paul ryan himself calls the deer hunter catholic that he is, okay? that might sell in penns
program, obama again trumps romney in all the polls. in ohio obama leads romney on medicare by 19. in florida, 15. in virginia, 13. other polls have shown president obama's advantage on medicare has grown significantly since ryan joined the ticket. so let's go back to this again, trying to figure this out. he bought into a guy who was known primarily for this voucher plan, getting rid of medicare as we know it. basically go to a doctor and the bills are paid by medicare. you can't beat a system like that, joy ann, i don't think on this planet earth and have something paid for when you go to do it. there's nothing like it. >> and -- >> why would anybody want to change it? nobody would want to change it. >> chris, i think what's worse than that is they tried to be too cute with it. they said they're not going to touch anybody over 55. people over 55 understand their children are future seniors. it's not they're going to be selfish and say as long as you don't touch my medicare, go ahead, turn it into a voucher. seniors don't like the idea of changing the program for their children a
that you deserve. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious and said well, of course. you know, mitt romney has to be the big winner on this first debate. >> well, i think he was like look, let me keep my credibility in check because he's been watching what has happened to congressman ryan over the course of this campaign. but i think each man has a different thing they need to accomplish. i think for governor romney he needs to have a strong performan performance. it's not just about one performance for him. his problem is a lack of consistency. he's got to have a good wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday. every day to the election. if you
obama? >> according to the public polls, obama is doing really well in pennsylvania. maybe he's got some private polls that he's doing inside his campaign that shows some other trends developing in pennsylvania. i haven't seen any public polls that would indicate he's got a shot in pennsylvania. i also haven't seen any indication that the romney campaign is spending any campaign money advertising in pennsylvania. if they are, it is really not much. but as i say, maybe there is something that his campaign knows that we don't yet know because right now it looks like obama is doing really, really well in pennsylvania. and the surrounding states, new jersey, new york, or maryland for that matter. i think romney does have a shot obviously in some of the other states like ohio, not that far away, but pennsylvania looks like a long shot. he was doing some fund-raising there earlier today, had a rally in pennsylvania, but we'll see if this is serious, this notion that he potentially has a shot in pennsylvania. if he does, it would be a dramatic shift. >> wow, we heard, wolf, a lot of analysts sa
"wall street journal" poll. three more states now going into the obama column just a few moments ago. new hampshire, nevada and north carolina. in new hampshire, among likely voters, the spread is now seven points. margin error is about 3%. in nevada, it is a 2% spread within the margin of error. in north carolina, also within the margin of error, but now in favor of president obama. this is a state many people thought that could not happen in given especially the gay marriage debate, but these are the latest numbers we have tonight. obama is now leadinging in the latest polling from all nine battleground states. particularly a problem tonight is florida. the latest cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponen
to a new "washington post"/abc news poll, president obama has a two-point lead holding there, 49%/47%. same score in the new politico poll. obama by two, 49%/47%. "the new york times" this weekend reported on the two campaigns' ongoing debate preps. here is what they said about romney's prep. quote, mr. romney's team has concluded that the debates are about creating moments and has equipped him with a series of zingers he's memorized and has been practicing on aides since august. bob shrum, you have been on that particular role, preparing candidates for debate. what do you make of romney, a rather stiff customer to begin with, coming off as sort of a henny youngman or whatever, some sort of a don rickles with some zingers. i don't think of him as a zinger kind of guy where obama is expected to be left helpless. what do you make of that strategy? >> first of all, if you had it, you wouldn't announce it. it's kind of stupid. >> why are they leaking it? >> i don't know. because they're trying to hold onto their people, they're undisciplined, i have no idea. number two, zingers don't exist in a
cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponent. that is to say they carry their base overwhelmingly. romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't necessarily have to be so. let's bring in our panel here and talk about all of the polling here we do at cnn and how it works. cnn polls, one thing you may hav
. the romney campaign privately does not they think the polls awrong. they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what their profession is. i'm skeptical they're tries to missample people. the finding more democrats are anyway poll, when a democratic candidate is popular, more people call themselves democrats. that doesn't mean the poll is wrong. more people call themselves democrats than they might have been four or five weeks ago. >> let me bring in mark mckinnon. we'll bring you into this conversation. i want to start with something that newt gingrich said this morning on "morning joe." mark, let me play that. >> everybody i talk to agrees he's
, it's great to see you this morning. the latest polling is show that president obama is ahead, anywhere from five to eight points in virginia. that's where the two candidates will be today. romney is writing off all the battleground polling putting the president in the lead. he did so specifically yesterday on abc. take a listen. >> i'm very please wtd some polls. less so with other polls. but frankly at this early stage, polls go up, polls go down. i don't expect to get 100% of the vote. i know i'm not going to bet 100%. i hope to get 50 plus percent and make sure that i become the next president. >> as we look at this realistically, 40 days to go, we have gallup daily tracking putting romney within four points of the margin of error. the romney campaign and the republican super pacs have only just begun unleashing its ma massive campaign cash. can romney use the debates, use all of that money in reserve to reverse his fortunes going forward? >> well, we don't put much stock in polls, good or bad, at this point, particularly 40 days out. we are coming in to the debater isries
back to the brand new battleground polls. there's a different pattern emerging, president obama is ahead in new hampshire, tighter in nevada and north carolina. joining me, director of the marist poll. good to see you in person. >> welcome to the home of the new york yankees. >> you're going to blow the playoff run. >> i am worried. >> we want the beltway series in washington. we have been looking at this as sort of the generic, the general all nine states. what is your take away? >> i think what you're seeing is a very big difference when obama is 45, 46 as months ago when everything was 44, now he gets to 48, 49, 50, you can say it makes a difference -- >> it does feel like 48 is a big difference -- >> seeing a change in the right direction in the approval rating. >> massive gender gaps. two places stuck out, nevada and new hampshire, look at this. 16 point gender gap in nevada among women. leads by 20 among women in new hampshire. social issues, any time that moved new hampshire big time. >> big effort at the republican convention to try to close this gender gap, obviously no
in the president's favor over the last couple of weeks. the real clear politics polling average now has obama up 4.1 points over mitt romney in national poles. nate silver's prediction model put barack obama's odds of winning the election above 80% for the first time ever. swing state polling just this week seems to confirm the trend. a new quinnipiac "new york times" cbs poll shows surprisingly strong leads for the president. the galup tracking poll shows obama up six points. it's pretty hard to survey the polling data and not come to the conclusion that barack obama is beating mitt romney, that if the election were held today barack obama would win and that romney has a relatively steep though certainly not insurmountable uphill climb to victory. that is if you operate in the alternate epi stem mick universe of the media. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endo you them with a falls scientific precision. >> these polls, i don't pay attention to them. >> polling is very good at saying how you're going to vote. it's very bad at saying who's going to vote. >> thes
, nine polls, nine leads for president obama ahead of the first debate next week. we breakdown the newest numbers facing the romney campaign in the battleground states. controversy in one of those key states, and where else but florida where allegations of voter registration fraud hit a company hired by the republican national committee. could it have happened in any other battleground? >>> and saying so long to the senate, jon kyl sits down for the latest installment in on-going conversations with senators that are saying farewell. see what he says about george w. bush and john mccain. this is "the daily rundown." i am chuck todd. let's get to the first reads of the morning. in the last two weeks, we polled in nine battleground states deciding the election. ohio, florida, virginia, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, north carolina, nevada, new hampshire. bad news for mitt romney, he doesn't lead in a single one. at best within the poll's margin of error. at worst, trails by eight points. this morning, how the nine states stack up. we said it again and again. the president's job approval rating m
's the daily gallup tracking poll showing president obama up six points in the points. maybe he wanted to focus on rasmussen. >> maybe rasmussen. john heilemann, you hear a lot of people -- not people inside the romney campaign because they know they're in trouble, and they're focused on it, and i think that's a good sign. but you talk to -- you hear a lot of people on talk radio, and you watch certain cable news channels, and they're screeching about how the polls are rigged. romney's people know they're in big trouble, right? down about ten in ohio. even the fox news poll shows romney losing in a lot of these swing states. they understand they're in trouble. do they believe they've got a chance to turn it around? >> they do and they do. they know they're in trouble and they -- you know, they have tried a little bit to play the polls or bias game in the last couple days. but pretty half-heartedly as far as i can see. you know, they argue that they're within the margin of error in ohio. a lot of people don't really understand how margin of error works. so you can be pretty far behind and still
we got today. new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majority of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending money in hopes of effecting the election's outcome start cutting their losses, ledgi hedging the and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house campaign committee had not yet reserved any ad time for a handful of incumbent republican congressmen. a
until the election. national polls show president obama ahead by at least five points. i'll talk to some great minds about what needs to happen in the next seven weeks for both the president and the man who wants his job. >>> and a startling statistic. four out of five black women in america are either overweight or obese. but this group is bucking the trend. they're called black girls run. >> it's about defeating the statistics that are saying that, you know what, we're dying because of obesity and diabetes and heart disease. so, we all set? i've got two tickets to paradise! pack your bags, we'll leave tonight. uhh, it's next month, actually... eddie continues singing: to tickets to... paradiiiiiise! no four. remember? whoooa whooaa whooo! you know ronny, folks who save hundreds of dollars by switching to geico sure are happy. and how happy are they jimmy? happier than eddie money running a travel agency. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chine
university poll out late last night shows actually the race much tighter than it's been. president obama only added mitt romney by two percentage points. and fascinating there. so how does all of this look, mark? >> well, look. it is right to not take any single poll and make a huge deal of it but there are some state polls like that batch from the virginia poll. if you saw it in a vacuum you'd say romney is in the game. i think if he has some good news, a good first debate, i think the race will be significantly tighter than it's been and then they can move off just answering different versions of the same question every day, why are you so far behind, and have a chance to talk about things they want to talk about like the economy. but he is still behind in too many places to win and doesn't have as of today an obvious electoral college path and he is not going to make it up i don't think on the ground with enthusiasm anymore which is one thing they've been counting on. >> brian sullivan, let's bring you in as our money man. new polling from "the washington post" and the kaiser family founda
look at the polls -- >> let me restate that. americans do care. is it going to move people from obama to romney? >> unlikely for two reasons. one is that the president is still seen as stronger on foreign policy. there's been some up and down, but in the latest polls he's still seen as pretty strong, and also people care more about the economy. i think governor romney has an obligation to talk about foreign policy, though. and the linkage is what i still think is their strongest case. why do you think the next four years would be any different than the last four years? primarily they've got to make that argument on the economy. i think making it on the arab spring and ton the middle east s not a bad political line. >> we'll get to the polls in just a second. i'll try this on you, john, do you think hearing paul ryan talk about president obama's foreign policy is going to move people from obama to romney? >> i'm not -- i don't think paul ryan matters very much, certainly on a foreign policy story. >> do you think it worked? >> i think there's a sequence of things that's going to happen
? but first here's my take. president obama has sewed up the poll this week and the republicans have been quick to figure out the problem. mitt romney. peggy noon nan said his rolling campaign has been a calamity. shouldn't we be so concerned it's income tent as noonan calls it given his reputation for, well, competence. after all he founded one of the leading firms, turned around the salt le city oliympics as was a very successful governor. how did he get so clumsy so fast? in fact, the problem is not romney. it tees republican party. given the manner in which it's moved and the pressures, any nominee would face the same challenge. can you be a serious candidate for the general election while not outraging the republican base? fox news anchor refused to dwell on romney's economic policies he would put in place. why wouldn't mitt romney fluent in economics explain his economic policy? because any sensible answer would cause a firestorm in his party. it's obvious with a deficit of more than 7% of gross go mess tick product, any solution to our budgetary problems has to involve spending cut
's not -- >> oh, good. new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything. with us from denver, host of "the daily rundown," chuck todd standing in the dark in denver. chuck, break down the polls for us. >> well, you know, it's been interesting about him. we've got a new poll that comes out tonight. what i've thought interesting about the polls in the last few days, quinnipiac, cnn, they all show the same thing. the president's number, the bounce he got out of the convention, it has not deflated. he is staying in the 49%, 50%. >> granholm. >> the fluidity is in romney's number. romney is anywhere, instead of sitting in the single digits, instead of the low
polling people but do you vote for romney or obama? >> i thought you were registering voters a minute ago. >> i am, i am. >> and who are you registering? all voters? >> i'm actually trying to register people for a particular party because we're out here in support of romney actually. i am. >> and who is paying you for this? >> oh, the -- let me see, we're working for the county clerk's office. >> okay. you cannot come out here -- >> working for the county clerk's office. that means taxpayer dollars goes to that teen-age person to go out and register people who are going to vote for mitt romney. the fox affiliate confirmed the woman worked for the republican firm. this is what happens when republicans get their backs against the wall. they cheat. but i don't think they're going to get away with it. democrats and progressives are schooled up on the latest dirty tricks. eight years ago the republican voter fraud in florida may have gone unnoticed. today we know better. republicans can use lies and intimidation to try to win but no one is going to roll over and take it this final. 2012 just a
of the polling we're seeing. national polls, it seems as if the dip that romney experienced last week is gone. that's the good news for you guys. the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessi
, the polls are wrong. pay no attention to what you're seeing or what you're hearing, that obama is up. according to some on fox and elsewhere, the pollsters are all in the president's back pocket and they can't be trusted, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick morris staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would win by four or five points. i believe he would carry florida, ohio, virginia. i believe he would carry nevada. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >> oh, come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. people need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it's ever been because this is the first election where if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they're going to vote. the models these folks are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of six or seven points. >> we're all wrong in this business, we make mistakes. he's the only guy i know who knows he's wrong when he says this stuff, dick m
of instructive. right now president obama seems safely ahead in all of the polling. pennsylvania is actually the kind of state that mitt romney's promise a year ago he was going to be able to put into play the same way john mccain's promise was supposedly that. the reason why pennsylvania has become so solid democratic they've won in each of the past five elections is largely because the suburbs outside philadelphia, white collar, affluent, right of center economically, left of center social issues have moved decisively towards the democrats. originally mitt romney was seen as a candidate who could appeal to those voters. but he's not making many inroads there. as a result pennsylvania seems out of reach in any realistic scenario. >> he was doing some fund raising there. that may be the major reason while he's there although the aides are being a bit coy pretending they think it's realistic to get the democrats that are spending so much there. wouldn't be the first time. >> we'll see if they put any television money or time in that. >> let's see if they put up there with some money. you've b
happened in benghazi. >> jennifer rubin, back to you. interesting. a bloomberg news poll, mitt romney is now plus six against obama on the issue of national security. >> yes. >> me, i think romney would be nuts if he doesn't press this case. you have a bipartisan group in the senate. democrats and republicans with a letter saying you have to give us a better hearing. you have to give us a better explanation. romney should be all over this. >> >> and they have not been. i have been complaining openly, in private, anywhere people will listen to me. it goes to the credible of the president and leadership. a person that would lie to the american people for his own political benefit about a incident of this level of severity on national security, that person doesn't belong in the white house. he needs to make that case. he can't make it through john mccain, as good as john mccain is, he can't make it through rudy giuliani as good as he is on this. he has to articulate himself and that's a test of leadership. >> should do it right now. thank you very much, colonel jack jacobs and jennifer r
points. rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to the rest of the world. what do you think this means just in terms of the fourth quarter and maybe a look into next year? >> good morning, becky. well, i think right now the u.s. economy is really slow in part because of what you guys were just talking about, the election. i think a lot of businesses have gone to the sidelines and they're waiting to see as you all discuss, we have a huge choice to be made. and businesses don't really know what the outlook is going to be for the next four years. so if i have -- if i'm a businessman and i have an investment or hiring decision to make, i'm just going to wait a couple mon
that there are several key states, which you must win. >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention has gone away. it's dissipated and more americans are looking at the romney ryan ticket as one that will address issues and will deliver a plan that has impact on middle class americans, that will bring down taxes for all americans. period. there's only one candidate that's actually talking about raising taxes and there's another candidate, the romney ryan ticket, that will cut taxes for all americans. so i think as we go into this, we'll hear a lot more of that. obviously at the debate and this is the next phase f that campaign. >> mitt romney leads according to our poll, on unemployment and the deficit. let me ask you this, b
of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and if romney just holds his own, if he just lands a few punches, then the audience might actually think that romney won. so i suspect team obama is trying to lower expectations trying to say the debates don't matter precisely because they're worried that mitt romney will do a good job. >> speaking of throwing punches, let's go back to primary season, it was mitt romney really in his big win taking florida that was quite impressive for the former massachusetts governor. let me just -- in case we have forgotten his abilities, take a look. >> i wanteople to be able to take their insurance with them if they go from job to jo
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 55 (some duplicates have been removed)